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+--- Thread: Another 2000? (/showthread.php?tid=143142)
Re: Another 2000? - Lemon Drop - 10-22-2012
$tevie wrote:
'Tis true, 'tis true. You never see the Republicans throwing their own guy under a bus.
Sure you do. The con pundits had declared Romney DOA back in September.
Although they primarily blamed those "skewed" polls...
Funny how the current polls are suddenly accurate.
Re: Another 2000? - $tevie - 10-22-2012
That was some political prognostication. Not the wholesale "It's over! We're screwed!" as displayed on places like this very forum.
Re: Another 2000? - swampy - 10-22-2012
Most of the polls to-date have been skewed. Most have been based on the 2008 models and heavily weighted in favor of Dems. Follow thee money. These polling companies are in business to make lots of money. As the election draws near it is in their interest to project more accurate numbers in order to maintain their credibility. It doesn't do their reputation any good if their final projections are way off base.
Re: Another 2000? - Manlove - 10-22-2012
And the media are in this to make money. They want to keep people interested so that they can sell more advertising. Therefore they make up or run with stories that are really nothing (look in this forum for half a dozen examples of non-stories) just to keep us coming back. And like crazed little consumer-dolls, we do.
Re: Another 2000? - Lemon Drop - 10-22-2012
swampy wrote:
Most of the polls to-date have been skewed. Most have been based on the 2008 models and heavily weighted in favor of Dems. Follow thee money. These polling companies are in business to make lots of money. As the election draws near it is in their interest to project more accurate numbers in order to maintain their credibility. It doesn't do their reputation any good if their final projections are way off base.
Some of the pro-Romney polling is a result of switching from registered voter polling to likely voter polling, which is always what is done closer to the election and is a direct measure of voter enthusiasm. The GOP has a slight edge on enthusiasm right now, thanks in part to their improved get-out-the-vote operations. Don't get overconfident though, Dems are equally strong if not stronger at that in the swing states.
None of that makes the earlier polls "skewed." Read the fine print of the polls.