Who lives in a state that's in the bag for one candidate or the other

[Ombligo]

The electoral projections now show Clinton needing only to carry Wisconsin and Michigan for a win. She currently has a 5+ point lead in both (real clear doesn't call a state safe until it reaches seven point differential and is outside any margin of error.

So with current polling, Clinton could lose Florida, Ohio, and North Carolina and still win the election. This fight is soon going to turn to the Senate where the Dems need four seats. They are projected to win three seats, but two of those races are still close; Nevada could be the fourth and is a dead heat.

The Koch's have already said they will be focusing their money on those races. Additionally 70 Republican lawmakers have asked the RNP to write off Trump and put it's money in legislative races.

This fight is just getting interesting.

[RgrF]

It may be getting interesting for the infighters, it won't for the general electorate. If they are motivated to vote by election day is becoming the question.

[$tevie]

RgrF wrote:
It may be getting interesting for the infighters, it won't for the general electorate. If they are motivated to vote by election day is becoming the question.

This is the sort of punditry that I call "projection". Just because you are not happy with your two choices does not mean that everyone is going to stay home.

[Lemon Drop]

Ca Bob wrote:
The west coast states form a Blue Curtain of 74 electoral votes. It's been that way for the past 6 presidential elections. Curiously, they went for Republican presidential candidates for about the same number of elections prior to that. The 1964 election is kind of an outlier since it was Goldwater against the newly seated Lyndon Johnson, running on the "let us continue" slogan.

California has become so solidly Democratic that the legislature is solidly Democratic, the Governor is a Democrat, and all of the statewide officers are also Democrats. In addition, we will continue to send two female Democratic Senators to D.C. As an editorial point, we should note that with all this liberalism in charge, and getting rid of disruptive blocs of Republicans in the legislature, California is the most prosperous it's been in years, creating jobs and enormous wealth.

By the way, traditional calculations include Virginia and North Carolina as parts of the "solid south" bloc, with a combined total of 28 electoral votes. If Trump loses those states (or either of them) he's toast. Virginia is looking pretty good for Hillary right now, which signals a solid defeat for the Donald.

VA and NC have not been part of the "solid south" for a while, if by that you mean reliably Republican. Virginia has gone Democratic for the past 2 elections and looks pretty solid for Clinton again this year.
North Carolina went for Obama in '08 and in the latest poll out yesterday Hillary has a 9 point lead there.

The "turning purple" southern state is Georgia, where Hillary has a very slim lead but where several recent polls have had her up by as much as 7. That one going Dem, if it happens, will be major.