03-06-2022, 02:15 AM
Ukraine is "Sudetenland" then Poland isn't "Poland" in this scenario.
Moldova is an easy target after Ukraine with historic ties to the old Russian empire to justify an invasion, and Lukashenko has already indicated that it's next on the list. (This might have been a deliberate ruse, but he's really not that bright.)
From there, he goes after Southern Romania and Bulgaria for control over the Black Sea, and if we continue to roll over without a fight then Russia has their choice of a half-dozen different nations after that, or they sit tight for awhile and rake in money by controlling all of the shipping in the region.
Don't forget, all this invading and occupying and blocking will require Russian men, materiel and money, with supply lines between the motherland and the front.