03-09-2022, 10:40 PM
Filliam H. Muffman wrote:
It will be endemic in about three weeks, maybe six to ten weeks in low information counties.
It will be endemic when the case numbers range close to a predictable baseline, including variants.
Probably about 2-3 years from now.
(I'd wager that our federal government's policy will start treating it as "endemic" within the next few months. But they'll be wrong.)
The WHO has repeatedly requested that politicians stop using the word "endemic." It just ain't there. It's not under control. At any moment, a new more deadly variant can arise, and given the prevalence of the disease throughout the world there's a real good chance that's gonna happen. If we treat it like it's nearly over, we're going to be that much further behind when the next surge comes.
Even when COVID becomes endemic, that doesn't mean "benign" or "mild." It's likely to kill many more people than influenza every year. The elderly are especially vulnerable. And it seems that health problems from COVID can be greatly exacerbated, not the least of which is diabetes.