05-20-2024, 05:05 PM
vision63 wrote:
[quote=Rolando]
I dunno. Zelenskyy's last act in office might be to peace treaty ceding the east and Crimea, then immediately sign up for NATO.
France is ready to intervene if NATO won't.
https://youtu.be/CC9QFwSXRLg?si=lEHDX3yNe7cw-985
Would be interesting. But, I don't think Russia is going to be allowed to keep any inch of it. We shall see.
Interesting question. Crimea actually overwhelmingly (>80%) supports the secession, according to Western polling. Donbas and Luhansk do not (~30% for secession), despite the results of the Russian "referendum," at least not as whole regions (some pockets do, but there is little to no international precedent of non-administrative regions seceding). So a realistic outcome would be to cede Crimea to Russia, but not the east. Or do another, internationally monitored referendum. But I doubt that this would be agreed to by the West, considering the positioning to date.