How long until we are officially in a recession?

[Ombligo]

All markets are off from Jan 20 and have cliff-dived in the last two weeks. Now tariffs are kicking in which will raise prices and stifle spending - both hallmarks of inflation. Unemployment is going to go up substantially due to government layoffs and the private sector reacting to it all.

I give it another month or six weeks before the R-word is being bantered about.

My guess is the Trump and Musk clans are going short on the market and long on futures. Manipulating the economy for their own benefit.