Who lives in a state that's in the bag for one candidate or the other
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Who lives in a state that's in the bag for one candidate or the other
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08-11-2016, 11:38 PM
New York. I'd say Clinton by 20 points. We'll all be gathering for a victory party at Trump Tower to watch Donald throw himself off the penthouse terrace, even though, knowing him, he'll shove off wife Melania instead. (She's getting kinda old.)
08-11-2016, 11:44 PM
If history is any help,then besides the three or four largest urban areas, Californians will vote for Dumbf. Unfortunately for Dumbf, more than 85% of the voting age population lives in those three or four large urban areas and many of those voters will not likely choose him on Nov. 8… it's always an interesting demographic to watch.
pdq wrote: Yeah, that's the upside. I only saw my first presidential TV commercial yesterday (it was for Clinton). The only presidential election ads ever seen here are the ones that occasionally sneak in on some national level feed - or are replayed as part of a news item LOL. Now the local yokels - that's another story.
08-11-2016, 11:47 PM
Georgia, no longer a Republican guarantee ... but I think they'll still side with Trump anyway. I'm in process of moving to TN, where the outlook isn't much better. Not sure yet where I'll vote. Maybe both places! (Joke, for my paranoid conservative friends)
08-11-2016, 11:58 PM
Currently my state is Clinton +12. I will be very tempted to cast a protest vote, only being put off by the Brexit vote.
08-12-2016, 01:30 AM
SDGuy wrote: Just remember that they elected celebrities like Ronald Reagan and Arnold Schwarzenegger as Governors.
08-12-2016, 08:46 AM
The west coast states form a Blue Curtain of 74 electoral votes. It's been that way for the past 6 presidential elections. Curiously, they went for Republican presidential candidates for about the same number of elections prior to that. The 1964 election is kind of an outlier since it was Goldwater against the newly seated Lyndon Johnson, running on the "let us continue" slogan.
California has become so solidly Democratic that the legislature is solidly Democratic, the Governor is a Democrat, and all of the statewide officers are also Democrats. In addition, we will continue to send two female Democratic Senators to D.C. As an editorial point, we should note that with all this liberalism in charge, and getting rid of disruptive blocs of Republicans in the legislature, California is the most prosperous it's been in years, creating jobs and enormous wealth. By the way, traditional calculations include Virginia and North Carolina as parts of the "solid south" bloc, with a combined total of 28 electoral votes. If Trump loses those states (or either of them) he's toast. Virginia is looking pretty good for Hillary right now, which signals a solid defeat for the Donald.
08-12-2016, 12:43 PM
The Northeast is like the solid West. The coasts where most people and wealth reside are beyond the reach of the so-called values that are attributed to the middle of the country.
70% of the population live within 50 miles of both oceans or a major Gulf. Despite the imbalance of the Electoral College, this is where decisions are and will be made for the next decade. After that the Southwest will become an offset except that offset will probably align with both coasts. Nothing is certain and anything can happen but it's hard to see how Republican money interests can prevent this. What they'll do is attempt to do another co-opt, like they did with the Tea Party and the Dems will attempt the same co-opting the Bernie movement while at the same time courting Wall Street. It'll be an interesting dance. Why do leaders not understand the people they are supposed to represent? |
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