Posts: 21,123
Threads: 7,559
Joined: May 2025
Reputation:
0
What is magical about the 16 months to be out of Iraq? Why not 10, 12, or 17? Why is 16 the magic number? I know it is a year and half but why not a year?
sorry, freudian slip I said IRAN. Have corrected
Posts: 8,734
Threads: 487
Joined: Feb 2011
Reputation:
0
Actually it's a year and a third. I don't know the significance of 16 months, but I strongly suspect the word 'negotiate' entered in there someplace. I haven't looked, but might it coincide with some specific date that's politically significant?
Posts: 57,772
Threads: 5,854
Joined: May 2025
Reputation:
1
Because it's:
1- a psychological compromise between 2 years (too long) and less than 1 year (too short!)
2- Just barely enough time to remove all the incredibly huge amounts of materiel that we've emplaced in that embattled nation. I recall seeing a study that detailed how long it would take to get all the vehicles out, and it was something like 14 months of just plain evacuation. The alternative, of course, is to either demilitarize them and/or destroy them.
3- At the start of the Obama Administration's campaign drive for his second term in 2012.
Posts: 37,098
Threads: 2,599
Joined: May 2025
Reputation:
0
perhaps because its a reasonable amount of time to accomplish the goals necessary for us to leave?
Posts: 4,575
Threads: 371
Joined: Jan 2016
samintx wrote:
What is magical about the 16 months to be out of Iran? Why not 10, 12, or 17? Why is 16 the magic number? I know it is a year and half but why not a year?
Iran??!
Posts: 24,926
Threads: 4,391
Joined: Nov 2024
Reputation:
0
It's very likely that some people put some thought and planning into it and came up with 16. 12 or 24 would seem sort of arbitrary to me.
Posts: 4,343
Threads: 408
Joined: Jan 2017
I suspect they came up with 16 months to withdraw from Iraq much the same way they came up with 850 Billion dollars for bail outs. Somebody's best guess.
Posts: 5,341
Threads: 242
Joined: Feb 2018
Reputation:
0
I have no idea for sure but it could be that based on gathered data and prognosis, 16 months is the amount of time it would take to leave the country with the ability to stand on its own in addition to providing us the required time to safely remove troops and equipment. Not like they can nail it down to the specific day of the week so any "estimate" going to be just that.
Posts: 50,838
Threads: 670
Joined: Mar 2024
[spoiler=For the geographically and geo-politically challenged, we are not in IRAN.]

[/spoiler]