Nate Silver: Obama 290, Romney 248

[Speedy]

President Obama down 31 since October 4. Not good, especially if he does poorly in the last two debates. And the Libya disaster will come up repeatedly in the last debate which will cost him lots of votes because short attention spans will forget Mission Accomplished: bin Laden eliminated no matter how often it may be mentioned.

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com...ts-a-hold/

[$tevie]

I guess I'm nuts to disagree with Nate Silver but I thought the numbers showing Obama with over 300 electoral votes looked kind of crazy. I never thought this woud be a blow out. The numbers above seem more realistic.

[Gutenberg]

I agree, Obama is in trouble. But do you really want a President Romney? Republican administrations tend to prey on the middle and lower classes.

[Black]

A CBS News-Knowledge Networks poll of undecided voters who watched the debate found 50 percent giving the advantage to Mr. Biden, 31 percent to the Republican, Representative Paul D. Ryan, and 19 percent calling the debate a tie.

A CNN poll of debate-watchers, however, had 48 percent giving the debate to Mr. Ryan, and 44 percent to Mr. Biden.

The surveys are not directly comparable: the CBS News poll was conducted among undecided voters only, while the CNN poll was among all debate viewers.

Cue one of the SNL "low information voter" spots.
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2012/09/23...07145.html

[Speedy]

Gutenberg wrote:
I agree, Obama is in trouble. But do you really want a President Romney? Republican administrations tend to always prey on the middle and lower classes.

Fixed.

[Black]

Speedy wrote:
[quote=Gutenberg]
I agree, Obama is in trouble. But do you really want a President Romney? Republican administrations tend to always prey on the middle and lower classes.

Fixed.
I don't think the Lincoln administration has been characterized as particularly predatory. Maybe it's time for another look.

[Speedy]

Lincoln was more of an independent. Go back further and you may find one.

Black wrote:
[quote=Speedy]
[quote=Gutenberg]
I agree, Obama is in trouble. But do you really want a President Romney? Republican administrations tend to always prey on the middle and lower classes.

Fixed.
I don't think the Lincoln administration has been characterized as particularly predatory. Maybe it's time for another look.

[$tevie]

I shouldn't post without having had my coffee. I meant "well over 300 electoral votes". Like over 330 and Romney 191. That looked too fantastic to me.

EDIT: I give up. I can't do math this morning. :banghead:

[beagledave]

$tevie wrote:
I shouldn't post without having had my coffee. I meant "well over 300 electoral votes". Like over 330 and Romney 191. That looked too fantastic to me.

EDIT: I give up. I can't do math this morning. :banghead:

:fawkdance:

[$tevie]

Why, I ought to...

:mad2: