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Requiem for the Arab Spring
#1
At the time, it seemed to make sense to talk about an "Arab Spring". One of things I presumed was part of the Arab Spring was a grassroots effort to make the government more democratic. In some countries tribal leaders and religious ideologues have not even let the situation on the ground evolve into one where there are/were many meaningful elections. In some countries where there were fairly free elections, a repressed majority gained power through democratic means and then used government power to repress their former repressors. In at least one country, Syria, the despotic regime tried to literally kill dissent early and brutally. An ominous backdrop to this boiling cauldren is a religious puritanical urge feeding meaning to underemployed young men* which could lead to a region-wide conflict between Sunni and Shia (though local conditions and attitudes mean such a conflict would probably not be clearly delineated on the ground). The Arab Spring has not moved attitudes in a direction that are likely to lead to an agreement between Palestinians and Israelis.

I remember the enthusiasm in the voice of an obviously cosmopolitan young Egyptian woman giving reports in MSNBC about the uprising that lead to the deposition of Mubarak. Those were "heady" days and I felt some hope that democratization would help the region come to have more tolerance for differences. Instead, it seems to have created an attitude of more intolerance. It's harder to be optimistic about the long haul prospects of our species when so often we end up not tolerating each other enough to avoid such horrendously destructive violence.

Even in the U.S. the beacon of democracy is flickering and sputtering due to a lack of tolerance that is necessary for a democracy to work.



*Young men that are not given a constructive challenge will often find meaning for their lives in puritanical religious ideology - especially if they are immersed in a society that generally highly values religious piety. This is a phenomenon that I think is very important in the dynamics of the violent conflicts we see in the region and in many parts of the world. It's not that religion is to blame**, it's the combination of economic systems not engaging enough young men in work that they find basically satisfying and financially sufficient along with religious zealotry that creates much of the problem.


**it's when religious views are seen as more important than the compromises necessary for a pluralistic society to function for the benefit of everyone that we see religion and the egalitarian ideal at the heart of the best democratic impulses (respect for the individual even with majority rule) in conflict. If one sees that a religious "truth" must be socially obeyed by all, then that can easily lead to the diminishment of respect for the political rights of an individual who may not share that religious view. There is always this strain in a pluralistic society between values specific to a religion and the society at large. The more pluralistic the society, the more the necessity for religious believers to have tolerance of the views of others if we want to have a functioning democracy that respects the political rights of everyone.
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#2
The Arab Spring is going strong, it just didn't turn out the way you wanted it to.
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#3
Religion: Does it drive the culture or reflect the culture?

10-12 pages, double-spaced 12 pt font, due two weeks before the end of the term.
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#4
Steve G. wrote:
The Arab Spring is going strong, it just didn't turn out the way you wanted it to.

That depends of what you mean by the term "Arab Spring". I take it to mean the flowering of democracy and respect for individual rights. I guess you just take it to mean the flowering of revolt. It's one of those fairly loose terms that I can be see being taken either way, but I certainly took it in the "flowering of democracy and respect for individual rights" way and that is clearly dead (perhaps still-born).
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#5
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arab_Spring

Etymology

The term "Arab Spring" is an allusion to the Revolutions of 1848, which is sometimes referred to as the "Springtime of Nations", and the Prague Spring in 1968. In the aftermath of the Iraq War it was used by various commentators and bloggers who anticipated a major Arab movement towards democratization.[40] The first specific use of the term Arab Spring as used to denote these events may have started with the American political journal Foreign Policy.[41] Marc Lynch, referring to his article in Foreign Policy,[42] writes "Arab Spring—a term I may have unintentionally coined in a January 6, 2011 article".[43] Joseph Massad on Al Jazeera said the term was "part of a US strategy of controlling
aims and goals" and directing it towards American-style liberal democracy.[41] Due to the electoral success of Islamist parties following the protests in many Arab countries, the events have also come to be known as "Islamist Spring" or "Islamist Winter".[44][45]
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#6
"Young men that are not given a constructive challenge will often find meaning for their lives in puritanical religious ideology - especially if they are immersed in a society that generally highly values religious piety."

I know this is a popular thing for westerners to say when describing what they think is wrong elsewhere - but - I"m not sure it accurately describes our present day jihadis, most of whom are educated middle class people who speak English, and in hundreds of cases with IS are actually UK citizens. One suspect (and there are many) in the execution of James Foley is allegedly a rapper who has very wealthy parents in London.

The 9/11 perps were mostly middle class guys too.

These people could certainly make other choices with their lives. They are radicalized but I don't think it's because they have no other options. If you're Arab, you've got plenty of real reasons to hate the US and the UK. This approach won't work, but you could understand why particularly in the post 9/11 world they might find this extremism is the best way to get the world's attention.
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#7
The Egyptian women who were assaulted and raped during the Popular Democracy Demos at Tahrir Square could probably express an opinion about the "flowering of democracy and respect for individual rights".
Similarly the Coptic Christians.



While you were out celebrating liberal democracy, the populations of most Arab countries were ignoring or rejecting it. In the couple of places it did work (Tunisia and probably someplace else), it was nice. In Turkey (yeah, I know, 'not Arab') democracy has yielded an increasingly Islamist and authoritarian regime.

We have to face the fact that with the major influence of poverty and religious extremism, this whole enterprise just isn't working out to be Des Moines.
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#8
Arab Spring was more Occupy meets the arab version of "bring down this oppressive regime". "Flowering of democracy" is a romantic western view.

When I was there there was an undercurrent of nostalgia for Nasser and "those days" fueling Spring not any desire for "western " democracy.
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#9
Acer wrote:
Religion: Does it drive the culture or reflect the culture?

10-12 pages, double-spaced 12 pt font, due two weeks before the end of the term.

False dichotomy. False dichotomy. False dichotomy. False dichotomy.

False dichotomy. False dichotomy. False dichotomy. False dichotomy.

False dichotomy. False dichotomy. False dichotomy. False dichotomy.

False dichotomy. False dichotomy. False dichotomy. False dichotomy.

False dichotomy. False dichotomy. False dichotomy. False dichotomy.

False dichotomy. False dichotomy. False dichotomy. False dichotomy.

False dichotomy. False dichotomy. False dichotomy. False dichotomy.

False dichotomy. False dichotomy. False dichotomy. False dichotomy.
... Tongue
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#10
Lemon Drop wrote:
"Young men that are not given a constructive challenge will often find meaning for their lives in puritanical religious ideology - especially if they are immersed in a society that generally highly values religious piety."

I know this is a popular thing for westerners to say when describing what they think is wrong elsewhere - but - I"m not sure it accurately describes our present day jihadis, most of whom are educated middle class people who speak English, and in hundreds of cases with IS are actually UK citizens. One suspect (and there are many) in the execution of James Foley is allegedly a rapper who has very wealthy parents in London.

The 9/11 perps were mostly middle class guys too.

These people could certainly make other choices with their lives. They are radicalized but I don't think it's because they have no other options. If you're Arab, you've got plenty of real reasons to hate the US and the UK. This approach won't work, but you could understand why particularly in the post 9/11 world they might find this extremism is the best way to get the world's attention.

It's true that many jihadists are not economically disaffected, but I think they do draw a great deal of strength from young men who are. I wonder if anyone has done a study on that.
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