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Trump has a 20% chance of winning - Nate Silver - Printable Version +- MacResource (https://forums.macresource.com) +-- Forum: My Category (https://forums.macresource.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=1) +--- Forum: 'Friendly' Political Ranting (https://forums.macresource.com/forumdisplay.php?fid=6) +--- Thread: Trump has a 20% chance of winning - Nate Silver (/showthread.php?tid=192405) Pages:
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Trump has a 20% chance of winning - Nate Silver - RgrF - 06-29-2016 ...as of today. Re: Trump has a 20% chance of winning - Nate Silver - cbelt3 - 06-29-2016 Too much for my comfort. Re: Trump has a 20% chance of winning - Nate Silver - bfd - 06-29-2016 Need to keep working even harder to get his chances down to ZERO… Re: Trump has a 20% chance of winning - Nate Silver - Filliam H. Muffman - 06-29-2016 bfd wrote: Re: Trump has a 20% chance of winning - Nate Silver - freeradical - 06-29-2016 Nate Silver, like 99% of the chattering class, didn't think that Trump would even have the remotest chance of being where he is today. He completely blew it. I no longer believe anything that these partisans say about him. Re: Trump has a 20% chance of winning - Nate Silver - sekker - 06-30-2016 freeradical wrote: He has completely discussed how and why he missed Trump, who is a Black Swan, Re: Trump has a 20% chance of winning - Nate Silver - $tevie - 06-30-2016 Still, it's tough to believe ANY prognostication after the incredible mess the pollsters and data crunchers made of things during the primaries. Re: Trump has a 20% chance of winning - Nate Silver - vision63 - 06-30-2016 Trust nothing. Full 50 State execution 100% Full throttle. Re: Trump has a 20% chance of winning - Nate Silver - pdq - 06-30-2016 $tevie wrote: Well, yeah, but they were in pundit/opinion mode then, and disregarded the data (showing Trump leading). Now they're chastened, and back to dealing with better data. In general, I think you dismiss Nate Silver at your own peril, whether it's good news or bad. Re: Trump has a 20% chance of winning - Nate Silver - Ombligo - 06-30-2016 The more the pollsters say Clinton is going to win in a landslide, the more her weak and/or lazy support will not bother to vote. And Dems are notoriously lazy voters. It still may not give Trump a chance, but it will destroy the down ticket races and those are important. |