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Trump has a 20% chance of winning - Nate Silver
#9
$tevie wrote:
Still, it's tough to believe ANY prognostication after the incredible mess the pollsters and data crunchers made of things during the primaries.

Well, yeah, but they were in pundit/opinion mode then, and disregarded the data (showing Trump leading). Now they're chastened, and back to dealing with better data.

In general, I think you dismiss Nate Silver at your own peril, whether it's good news or bad.
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Re: Trump has a 20% chance of winning - Nate Silver - by pdq - 06-30-2016, 07:21 PM

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