06-30-2016, 07:21 PM
$tevie wrote:
Still, it's tough to believe ANY prognostication after the incredible mess the pollsters and data crunchers made of things during the primaries.
Well, yeah, but they were in pundit/opinion mode then, and disregarded the data (showing Trump leading). Now they're chastened, and back to dealing with better data.
In general, I think you dismiss Nate Silver at your own peril, whether it's good news or bad.