Gainers and losers of congressional districts: 2020 census numbers coming this week

[Lemon Drop]

deckeda wrote:
To the extent courts can “help,” gerrymandering has become a publicly-known phenomena. It’s more likely today that unfairness gets looked at, which is a start.

Yes, both sides are geared up for court fights.

At least in North Carolina the gerrymandering was struck down.

[Lemon Drop]

Latest estimates I saw were that Dems will need 51 or 52% of the votes nationwide in 2022 to hold their slim majority in the House. It's doable. The GOP can either hold fewer districts and keep their wackier candidates, or moderate for broader appeal. We will see what happens. .

[mrbigstuff]

Dems in traditionally R districts could start by organizing locally in caucuses, and taking over entrenched local offices, who then influence the district and state-wide political environment. It's what the Rumpers are doing in their own district to keep their god in play.

[RgrF]

mrbigstuff wrote:
Dems in traditionally R districts could start by organizing locally in caucuses, and taking over entrenched local offices, who then influence the district and state-wide political environment. It's what the Rumpers are doing in their own district to keep their god in play.

Imported job seekers (assuming they are Dems and don't come from places like Indiana) take a while to assimilate and it's doubtful they'll actually be either in a position or involved enough to move any needle.

[vision63]

We should re-do the entire Census process considering the hijinks of the previous administration designed to influence the outcomes.

[Lemon Drop]

Not many districts are flippable. Biden famously turned a few states blue, but not many districts. The game is to hold what we've got and win more southern suburbs.

[sekker]

Lemon Drop wrote:
Not many districts are flippable. Biden famously turned a few states blue, but not many districts. The game is to hold what we've got and win more southern suburbs.

There ARE some that can be targeted. I live in a purple district in a blue state. Flipped back since our former Congresscritter is our governor. The lefties argued in town, the right went all-MAGA. Now I have a representative who openly refuses to talk to a US Citizen if they are not of Christian faith (and has to be a Christian faith they approve of, so not even so sure about Mormons). We CAN flip this back, but not if we are arguing over who is the MOST progressive.

[Ted King]

sekker wrote:
Now I have a representative who openly refuses to talk to a US Citizen if they are not of Christian faith (and has to be a Christian faith they approve of, so not even so sure about Mormons).

That's some cancel culture right there.

[Lemon Drop]

sekker wrote:
[quote=Lemon Drop]
Not many districts are flippable. Biden famously turned a few states blue, but not many districts. The game is to hold what we've got and win more southern suburbs.

There ARE some that can be targeted. I live in a purple district in a blue state. Flipped back since our former Congresscritter is our governor. The lefties argued in town, the right went all-MAGA. Now I have a representative who openly refuses to talk to a US Citizen if they are not of Christian faith (and has to be a Christian faith they approve of, so not even so sure about Mormons). We CAN flip this back, but not if we are arguing over who is the MOST progressive.
If the last election was close then you need a better Dem candidate or campaign, and better turnout. But it is difficult to unseat incumbents, even newer ones.

[Lemon Drop]

The census results are out.

Texas gets 2 seats and Florida gets 1.

Alabama and Rhode island got by without losing a seat, but barely.

New York lost a seat by 89 people. Ouch. If NY had kept its seat, then MN would have lost 1.

Interesting stuff.